TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Super Nova and FC RFS in the Latvian Virsliga league. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market resolves based on whether Super Nova wins, FC RFS wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Super Nova vs FC RFS match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Super Nova or FC RFS markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score after the same duration. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches, and can present opportunities for arbitrage if you believe the market is mispricing the event. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This means the odds are not set by a bookmaker but are instead determined by the collective actions of all participants trading in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Super Nova vs FC RFS match as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team form, key player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Super Nova or FC RFS could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause movement. Major betting patterns, such as a sudden surge in volume on a particular outcome, can also signal changing sentiment and impact the market price.