TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Sunderland and Leeds United. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match outcome exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored in the Sunderland vs Leeds United EPL match scheduled for October 25, 2026 exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets consider only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time; extra time or penalty shootout goals are excluded from the resolution. If the final count of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the anticipated result and potentially reveal areas where the crowd disagrees with experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 2.5 goals will be scored, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up its price. Conversely, selling pressure will lower the price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Sunderland vs Leeds United match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will dictate the settlement of their contracts. The market will close prior to the match’s conclusion to prevent any last-minute manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sunderland or Leeds United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups shortly before the match could lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could also shift the market, as traders react to new information or perceived opportunities.