TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sunderland and Leeds United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Sunderland vs Leeds United EPL soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-differential threshold for either team to win by. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Sunderland wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. The rules explicitly note that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or conventional wisdom, though discrepancies can occur. It’s common to see differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes, influenced by factors like public perception and specialized knowledge among traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sunderland vs Leeds match, specifically the final spread. The official result will be sourced from recognized sports data providers and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed outcome and ensure their accounts are properly set for settlement following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sunderland or Leeds United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Oct 25, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities within this market.