TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional English Premier League (EPL) soccer match between Sunderland and Leeds United. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sunderland vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Sunderland win, Leeds United win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and can present opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sunderland vs Leeds match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market and any winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from respected football commentators, could also cause movement. Major upsets in other related matches, or even general public sentiment expressed on social media, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.