TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sunderland wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Sunderland wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:21h:14m
$
This spread betting scenario assesses whether Sunderland defeats Chelsea by more than a specified margin. The outcome hinges on the difference in goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Markets resolve to 'Yes' if Sunderland wins by the specified margin or more in the professional EPL soccer game between Sunderland and Chelsea, originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout results do not count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks may miss. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Sunderland vs Chelsea match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be higher, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Sunderland vs Chelsea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sunderland or Chelsea would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the predicted spread.