TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Sunderland and Brighton. It evaluates whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event assesses multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Sunderland vs Brighton EPL match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all calculations. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and none influence the others. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a particular goal total is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts regarding the total goals scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in the Sunderland vs Brighton match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The goal is to buy contracts at a price lower than what you believe the true probability is and sell them at a higher price to profit from the difference.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Sunderland vs Brighton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sunderland or Brighton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal scoring rate. Team form leading up to the match, tactical approaches, and even pre-game team news announcements could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price on Kalshi. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, would also have a substantial impact.