TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Brighton will win the Sunderland vs Brighton professional EPL soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Brighton a 54.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 36.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keen observers should watch for the final whistle on October 10, 2026, as that marks the end of the betting period and determines the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Sunderland vs Brighton EPL soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; the Tie market resolves to Yes if the match concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform procedures. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation time. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Sunderland vs Brighton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sunderland vs Brighton match, as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants or groups could temporarily impact the market, though these effects are often absorbed as more traders participate. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.