TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sunderland and Brentford in the EFL Cup. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will resolve based on whether Sunderland wins, Brentford wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Sunderland vs Brentford professional EFL Cup soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Sunderland win, Brentford win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people participate, the odds tend to become more efficient, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions or access to unique information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current market reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sunderland vs Brentford match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and officially settle the market. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from influential analysts, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ recent performance are additional signals that could move the market.