TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sunderland AFC and Brentford FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Brentford FC" if Brentford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sunderland AFC and Brentford FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sunderland AFC" if Sunderland AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Brentford FC" if Brentford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular team's chance of scoring first, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to observe that as an event approaches, the prediction market odds become increasingly aligned with those found at major sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Sunderland or Brentford will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular team, the higher the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and trader sentiment. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Sunderland or Brentford, scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and records. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of information relating to the game. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sunderland or Brentford would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news, such as a major team dispute, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.