TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Stuttgart and M'gladbach. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match must complete its full 90 minutes plus stoppage time for the result to count.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored in the Stuttgart vs M'gladbach Bundesliga match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). All thresholds are evaluated after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the actual goal count surpasses any given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Bundesliga or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by actual money at stake, tends to be more responsive to new information and changing sentiment. If a significant number of bettors believe a particular outcome is more likely, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective than what’s available at sportsbooks. It’s a way to see where public opinion diverges from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if traders sell, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a real-time assessment of potential game results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Stuttgart vs M´gladbach match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the corresponding payout for their contracts after the match concludes and the results are officially reported. This provides a clear and transparent process for settling the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stuttgart or M´gladbach would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Even pre-match team news, like confirmed starting lineups, or tactical announcements from the managers could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these teams could also indirectly influence the market, as could major shifts in public perception based on expert analysis.