TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and M'gladbach, the outcome hinges on both teams scoring at least one goal before the end of regular time.
If Stuttgart and M´gladbach both score a goal in the Stuttgart vs M´gladbach Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score) is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate differing perspectives on the likelihood of both teams finding the net. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market continuously adjusts to new information and trader sentiment leading up to the match. The current price represents the cost to enter a position reflecting your belief about whether both teams will score.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Stuttgart and M´gladbach score at least one goal during regular play (90 minutes plus any added time) in the scheduled match. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stuttgart or M´gladbach would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Even team lineup announcements closer to kickoff could shift probabilities. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, will directly impact the price of this market.