TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Stuttgart will win its professional Bundesliga soccer game against M´gladbach. Currently, Kalshi gives Stuttgart a 57.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 29.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result of the Stuttgart vs M´gladbach game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced prior to the October 23, 2026 kickoff, as they may signal potential strategies and impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the Stuttgart vs M’gladbach professional Bundesliga soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Stuttgart wins, the 'Stuttgart' market resolves to Yes. If M’gladbach wins, the 'M’gladbach' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to news or changing sentiment. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the outcome and trading at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stuttgart vs M´gladbach match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching staff could also cause price movements. Furthermore, broader events affecting the teams, such as weather conditions or off-field controversies, might impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.