TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:20h:41m
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This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Europa League between Sturm Graz and NK Celje. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory after the full regulation time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts. The market also includes an option for a draw as a possible result.
The market resolves based on the result of the Sturm Graz vs NK Celje professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sturm Graz, a win for NK Celje, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets operate independently of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. However, sportsbook odds can be useful as a reference point for understanding broader market expectations. Discrepancies between this market and sportsbook odds can present potential trading opportunities, as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sturm Graz vs Celje match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Sturm Graz, a win for NK Celje, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in their preceding matches, as well as any public statements from key players or managers, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential trading opportunities.