TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Sturm Graz will win its Europa League soccer match against Marseille. Currently, Kalshi gives Sturm Graz a 60.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Sturm Graz vs Marseille professional Europa League soccer game. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced prior to the October 22, 2026 kickoff, as they may indicate each team’s intended approach to the match.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Sturm Graz vs Marseille professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Sturm Graz market occurs if Sturm Graz wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Marseille market occurs if Marseille wins the match in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. All markets are independent and exclusively reflect the specified conditions without any official affiliation to the governing league or its entities.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news or public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even subjective factors. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or where sportsbooks might be overreacting to certain information. It's a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Sturm Graz vs Marseille match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match result, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, as determined by the governing football authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Sturm Graz or Marseille, changes in team form based on recent matches, and even weather conditions on match day. Unexpected announcements from team management, such as changes to the starting lineup, could also significantly impact the odds. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.