TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Stroemsgodset IF and Aasane Fotball, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stroemsgodset IF" if Stroemsgodset IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aasane Fotball" if Aasane Fotball are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Stroemsgodset IF and Aasane Fotball, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stroemsgodset IF" if Stroemsgodset IF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aasane Fotball" if Aasane Fotball are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Therefore, you may find that the implied probability of a team scoring first on Polymarket diverges from what is offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges and the event draws closer. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Stroemsgodset or Aasane scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Stroemsgodset IF vs. Aasane Fotball match. If the match is canceled or postponed, the market may be voided or adjusted according to Polymarket’s market rules. The outcome will be determined by official match data and records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probability of each team scoring first. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts or unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements on Polymarket.