TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.2b
24H VOL:
$205,769,171
24H TRANSACTIONS:
950,106,883
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,078,492,000
827,238
Markets across
14,795
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
884
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Additional context — Updated July 6, 2026 The sentence “The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B” contains incorrect context. The $91.5B figure came from a tender offer, not Stripe’s most recent funding round. Stripe’s most recent funding round was reported at a $50B post-money valuation. This market resolves based on Stripe’s next funding round, not a tender offer. This market will resolve based on the reported post-money valuation of Stripe’s next funding round. The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B. This market will resolve to "YES" if the next reported post-money valuation of Stripe is greater than $120 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If no funding round is reported by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Stripe, published at stripe.com/newsroom/news. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Additional context — Updated July 6, 2026 The sentence “The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B” contains incorrect context. The $91.5B figure came from a tender offer, not Stripe’s most recent funding round. Stripe’s most recent funding round was reported at a $50B post-money valuation. This market resolves based on Stripe’s next funding round, not a tender offer. This market will resolve based on the reported post-money valuation of Stripe’s next funding round. The reported post-money valuation of the last round was $91.5B. This market will resolve to "YES" if the next reported post-money valuation of Stripe is greater than $120 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If no funding round is reported by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "NO." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Stripe, published at stripe.com/newsroom/news. However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional analyst valuations because markets aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than periodic research reports. While equity analysts may publish quarterly or annual valuation estimates based on comparable companies and financial models, prediction markets update continuously as traders incorporate breaking news, earnings signals, and macroeconomic shifts. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than Wall Street consensus, and can highlight blind spots in either approach. Both sources offer complementary perspectives on Stripe's likely next round valuation.
On Limitless, Stripe next round valuation is priced as a set of discrete outcome contracts, each representing a specific valuation range. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares of each outcome, with the price of a share reflecting the market's implied probability that outcome will occur at resolution. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader interest in a particular valuation band. Prices adjust in real time as new trades execute, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome, influencing execution costs.
The Stripe next round valuation market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by the actual valuation assigned to Stripe in its next announced funding round. Once Stripe publicly discloses a new round with an explicit valuation, the outcome matching that valuation band is marked correct, and traders holding shares of the winning outcome receive their payout. If no funding round closes by the end date, or if the valuation falls outside all predefined ranges, the market may resolve to a default outcome as specified in the event rules.
Key catalysts include Stripe's quarterly financial performance, changes in fintech market sentiment, competitor funding announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting venture capital availability, and regulatory developments in payments. Management commentary on growth and profitability targets can shift trader expectations about what valuation Stripe will command. Broader tech sector momentum, interest rate changes, and shifts in investor appetite for late-stage private companies also influence the market. Any credible reporting about Stripe's fundraising timeline or investor interest will likely trigger sharp repricing across outcomes.
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