TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional women's soccer match in France. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The result is determined solely by the standing after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Strasbourg vs Le Havre professional French Women's Première Ligue soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team wins outright within regulation time; a tied score after regulation results in the 'Tie' market resolving to 'Yes.' No outcomes from extra time, penalty kicks, or similar post-regulation events affect these markets. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will instead settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The markets explicitly exclude any affiliation or endorsement by the governing league, and all league-related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two. Comparing the odds can provide a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the confidence levels of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Strasbourg vs Le Havre match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, impacting the style of play and potentially the outcome. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader football news could influence trader sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.