TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:12 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league, with the focus on whether both teams manage to score during regular time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The outcome depends solely on the scoring events within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This scenario highlights the offensive performance of both teams throughout the course of the game.
If Strasbourg Alsace and PSG both score a goal in the Strasbourg Alsace vs PSG Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It is common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating higher confidence in that outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers it. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Strasbourg and PSG score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as determined by the governing football authorities, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the official data is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Strasbourg or PSG would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected style of play and goal-scoring potential. Additionally, any pre-match announcements about tactical changes or team formations could shift market sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Public perception and betting trends can also influence the market.