TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Strasbourg Alsace and Auxerre will determine if Strasbourg Alsace or Auxerre wins by a margin greater than specified thresholds. This includes all goals scored during the 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, but excludes extra time and penalty shootout goals.
For each market, the outcome is determined by whether Strasbourg Alsace or Auxerre wins the Strasbourg Alsace vs Auxerre professional Ligue 1 soccer game, originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, by more than a specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded. If the opposing team wins, the market resolves to No regardless of the margin. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker's assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price here will adjust accordingly. This can lead to opportunities for informed traders to find value discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Strasbourg vs Auxerre match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price is a dynamic representation of collective intelligence, constantly updated as new information and opinions enter the market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Strasbourg vs Auxerre match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news and official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Strasbourg or Auxerre would likely impact the price. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could further contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.