TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either Stony Brook or Towson must win to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Stony Brook vs Towson college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Stony Brook must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 2.5, 6.5, 10.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes only if Stony Brook’s victory exceeds that exact threshold. Conversely, markets requiring Towson to win by a certain margin (e.g., over 1.5, 5.5, 9.5 points, etc.) resolve to Yes if Towson’s win surpasses the stated threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy appears between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that prediction market traders have information or insights not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Stony Brook vs Towson game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process leads to prices that aggregate information from a diverse range of participants, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Stony Brook vs Towson game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports authority. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for the winning spread and $0 for all other spreads. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Stony Brook or Towson teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information entering the market, causing prices to shift. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market reflects the views of traders on Kalshi specifically.