TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers a college football matchup between Stonehill and Sacred Heart. The result hinges on which team claims victory in the game set for October 10, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours of the original start time, the market resolves to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically providing a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially identifying discrepancies or inefficiencies not immediately captured by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information is factored in and traders refine their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stonehill vs Sacred Heart game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Stonehill win or a Sacred Heart win—is the winner based on the final score. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly based on the verified result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stonehill or Sacred Heart teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, team performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions (if the game is outdoors) could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, are all potential catalysts that could move the market before Oct 10, 2026. Monitoring these factors can help you understand the evolving probabilities reflected in the contract prices.