TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold by which either Stonehill or LIU must win to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Stonehill vs LIU college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If LIU wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'LIU wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Stonehill wins by exceeding its specified margin, that market resolves to Yes. Markets remain open if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, resolving based on the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that isn't immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Stonehill vs LIU game, and comparing them can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Stonehill vs LIU game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the correct result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the game's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Stonehill vs LIU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the competition. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will be the determining factor for settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stonehill or LIU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to volatility in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations.