This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Stonehill Skyhawks and Wagner Seahawks scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory, resolving both possible outcomes to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution with distinct outcomes and edge-case provisions.
Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi—the market cannot settle correctly. Trade only on Polymarket, which has sound resolution logic. Monitor NCAA.com for game status, postponement, or cancellation announcements.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Both Wagner win and Stonehill win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable.
Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Stonehill Skyhawks win resolves to Stonehill Skyhawks; Wagner Seahawks win resolves to Wagner Seahawks. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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