TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Stoke and Bristol City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Stoke vs Bristol City professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Stoke wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Bristol City wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. The resolution hinges solely on the goal differential without regard to other match factors. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Stoke vs Bristol City match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers driving prices up and sellers driving them down.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Stoke vs Bristol City match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official results as the event approaches to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns at sportsbooks. Furthermore, any major events impacting team morale or performance leading up to the game could cause the market to react and adjust its pricing accordingly.