TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a league fixture, where each team aims to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time awarded by the referee. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the net within the normal course of play. This scenario highlights the offensive capabilities of both sides in a standard competitive match setting.
If Stoke and Bristol City both score a goal in the Stoke vs Bristol City EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the event's probability. If there's significant disagreement between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Stoke City vs Bristol City match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Stoke City and Bristol City score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final price of the contracts on Kalshi will reflect whether both teams scored (settling at 100) or not (settling at 0), and traders will receive or pay out the difference based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stoke City or Bristol City would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or team form, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected team lineups announced shortly before kickoff could also cause a rapid adjustment in the market price.