TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 between Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 between Stoke City FC and Middlesbrough FC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to openly trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand – if more people believe Stoke City will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Stoke City vs. Middlesbrough match – whether it ends in a win for either team or a draw – will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market settles.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the Oct 13, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, tactical assessments, and even weather forecasts could also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.