TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Stockport and Wimbledon. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Stockport and Wimbledon in their EFL League One match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding any goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals in the Stockport vs Wimbledon match. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, total goals scored in the Stockport vs Wimbledon match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. Traders aim to profit by buying contracts they believe are undervalued and selling them when they become overvalued, based on their assessment of the game and potential goal scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally in the Stockport vs Wimbledon match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The number of goals scored by both teams combined will determine which contracts pay out, and at what value, based on the specific goal total represented by each contract. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stockport or Wimbledon would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about referee appointments or potential controversies could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant public information regarding expected team lineups or playing styles could lead to changes in the price of contracts on Kalshi.