TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Stockport and Barnsley. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or low-scoring based on the combined tally from both teams.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the official 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined goals from both teams exceed the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. The match in question is the professional EFL League One game originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. These markets are independently operated by Kalshi and hold no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities; all trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant amount of money is wagered on a particular result, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially moving against the initial sportsbook line. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when compared to early public polling data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer we get to the match, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Stockport vs Barnsley match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that all traders receive the correct payout based on the verified result of the event. Traders should monitor Kalshi for official updates regarding the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stockport or Barnsley would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about the referee assigned to the match, or any controversies surrounding the teams, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring team news and expert analysis leading up to Oct 10, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.