TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The Stifel Charity Classic is a prestigious golf tournament where competitors aim to achieve the top position. Participants and spectators alike follow the outcome closely, with the winner earning both significant prestige and financial reward. The event showcases skilled athletes navigating challenging courses under pressure.
Contracts linked to the Stifel Charity Classic resolve based on whether specified golfers win the tournament. If the named golfer secures the victory, relevant contracts resolve to 'Yes.' If any golfer listed under these rules withdraws, forfeits, or fails to tee off prior to the start of play, contracts for Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets automatically resolve to 'No.' For other market types—including Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball—contracts in such cases resolve to Fair Market Value, ensuring fair treatment of all participants under these specific conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular golfer’s chances in the Stifel Charity Classic, the odds here will adjust accordingly. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes proving more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different golfers winning the Stifel Charity Classic. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that golfer winning, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular golfer, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to see the current best bid and ask prices for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Stifel Charity Classic is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results from the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning golfer. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final contract price. It's important to note that the resolution is based solely on the official tournament results, and any disputes or controversies surrounding the event will not affect the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Stifel Charity Classic concludes. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, form, or potential withdrawal from the tournament would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also influence the odds, as certain golfers may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected strong or weak performances by golfers in preceding events could shift market sentiment. Finally, any major upsets or surprising results during the tournament itself will undoubtedly lead to substantial movement in this market.