TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Stevenson Mustangs vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Stevenson vs UMBC?

Total volume:
$26,062
Volume 24h:
$10,953
273,735%
Liquidity:
$2,119
46%
Open interest:
$20,184
100%

UMBC

 - Kalshi

UMBC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 02h:14m:05s

UMBC wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,961
2%
5%
$4,304
2h 14m
Active
polymarket

Stevenson Mustangs vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3.5¢No 98.3¢
—
$2,119
$2,156
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Stevenson

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$17,945
144%
147%
$15,880
2h 14m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Stevenson Mustangs and the UMBC Retrievers, scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, creating a flawed resolution condition.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket's market as it accurately reflects the standard win/loss outcome of a basketball game. Avoid Kalshi's market due to its illogical resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the winner of the Stevenson vs. UMBC women's basketball game on November 2nd. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either UMBC or Stevenson wins the game. "If UMBC wins the Stevenson vs UMBC women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stevenson wins the Stevenson vs UMBC women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Stevenson Mustangs and UMBC Retrievers on November 2 at 6:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the women's college basketball game between Stevenson and UMBC, scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour period, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Stevenson vs. UMBC women's basketball game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $26,062, with $12,542 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The consensus view, while showing some divergence, allows traders to compare and contrast how different platforms are pricing the likelihood of each team winning. This provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment surrounding the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome of the Stevenson vs. UMBC women's basketball game.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees, market-specific rules, and the overall liquidity available can also contribute to price differences. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Stevenson Mustangs vs. UMBC Retrievers (W) at 3.5%, while Kalshi leans toward UMBC wins at 99.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each platform’s trading environment and participant perspectives on the Stevenson vs. UMBC women's basketball game.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official score of the Stevenson vs. UMBC women's basketball game as reported by the governing athletic body. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it impacts their positions once the official outcome is available. The platform will then process the results and distribute payouts accordingly.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks could also create arbitrage opportunities, impacting prices on Polymarket and Kalshi. Any major developments affecting the perceived competitiveness of either the Stevenson or UMBC teams could lead to substantial movement in this market.