TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Stevenage and Wigan. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Stevenage vs Wigan professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration for all markets. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), and resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed that threshold. All markets share the same underlying event—the official match result—and are independent only in their resolution criteria regarding the goal count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the actions of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional methods, though this isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in the Stevenage vs Wigan match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences, creating a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Stevenage vs Wigan match, as officially recorded by the governing football league, will determine the result. The final score will be sourced from official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual total goals scored.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stevenage or Wigan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football experts suggesting a shift in expected goals could also cause the market to react. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.