TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Stevenage and Plymouth, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Stevenage versus Plymouth EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026. Resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins: Stevenage must win by more than 2.5 goals, Stevenage must win by more than 1.5 goals, Plymouth must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Plymouth must win by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule corresponds to a separate market outcome (Yes/No), with all secondary rules consistently stating that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The collective rules establish a framework for resolving multiple outcome scenarios based on the match’s final score differential.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Stevenage vs Plymouth match. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information and adjust prices accordingly, potentially outpacing sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Buyers are expressing a belief that the outcome is *more* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it is *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined by supply and demand – more buyers drive the price up, and more sellers drive it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Stevenage vs Plymouth match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final spread of the Stevenage vs Plymouth match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final spread will be the determining factor for which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the match concludes and the official data is available. This allows for a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Stevenage or Plymouth could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and the final spread. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and move the market. Keep an eye on these signals as they unfold to understand potential price movements in this market.