TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Stevenage and Plymouth, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will secure a win or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final standing without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Stevenage vs Plymouth professional EFL League One soccer match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Stevenage wins, the 'Stevenage' market resolves to Yes. If Plymouth wins, the 'Plymouth' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regulation time result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – this market tends to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view on the outcome of the Stevenage vs Plymouth match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own beliefs and the market price, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s assessment, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment regarding the Stevenage vs Plymouth match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stevenage vs Plymouth match, as declared by the governing football league. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 20, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Stevenage or Plymouth would likely cause price adjustments, as would any changes in team form or managerial decisions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also impact the perceived probability of certain outcomes. Furthermore, significant news regarding team morale, tactical approaches, or even pre-match interviews could all contribute to shifts in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities as they arise in this market.