TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread thresholds for the Stetson vs St. Thomas college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each outcome represents whether St. Thomas wins by a specific margin or if Stetson achieves a narrow victory. The markets adjust dynamically based on game timing and final score.
All markets resolve based on whether St. Thomas wins the designated college football game by exceeding a specified point differential, with outcomes ranging from narrow victories to large margins. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of the point-spread threshold being tracked. The markets operate independently but share consistent secondary rules governing postponement and fairness in unresolved scenarios.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the odds in this market can converge or diverge from sportsbook lines, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome of the Stetson vs St. Thomas game. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders who believe the spread will be higher buy contracts, driving the price up, while those who believe it will be lower sell contracts, pushing the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Stetson vs St. Thomas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official game results, and the market will settle to reflect whether the actual spread was above or below the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or significant shifts in public opinion could also lead to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the relative strength of Stetson and St. Thomas is likely to be reflected in trading activity, causing the spread to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key for traders looking to capitalize on market fluctuations.