TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Stephen F. Austin
- Kalshi
Stephen F. Austin - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 12d:01h:26m
$
This group covers the college football game between Stephen F. Austin and UT Rio Grande Valley scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets exist on which team will win, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored in the game. All markets include a no-result provision if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.
In the upcoming college football game between Stephen F. Austin and UT Rio Grande Valley, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Stephen F. Austin" if Stephen F. Austin win the game. This market will resolve to "UT Rio Grande Valley" if UT Rio Grande Valley win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event determines the winner of the college football game between Stephen F. Austin and UT Rio Grande Valley scheduled for November 14, 2026. If UT Rio Grande Valley wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Stephen F. Austin wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of factors and adjust more quickly to new information. The volume of $8 suggests active trading and a dynamic assessment of probabilities.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, different platforms may attract traders with varying levels of expertise or access to information. The differing market structures and participant pools create independent price signals, leading to variations even for the same underlying event. Currently, Polymarket shows a 100.0% probability for Spread: Stephen F. Austin (-14.5), while Kalshi indicates 92.0% for Stephen F. Austin wins.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Stephen F. Austin vs. UT Rio Grande Valley game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official results reported by the relevant governing body or sports authority. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and confirmation of the game's completion to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team performance could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create short-term volatility and influence the overall market sentiment. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.