TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Stars vs. Flyers
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 7:00PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-based outcomes (goal differential thresholds), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored and moneyline winner. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution metrics for the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, your outcome depends on the margin of victory (1.5 or 2.5 goal spreads). If you bet on Polymarket, your outcome depends on combined total goals or which team wins. A 3-1 Flyers win resolves YES on Kalshi (Flyers by >2.5) but resolves to Flyers moneyline and Under 4.5 on Polymarket—different market types entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on goal margin thresholds only. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals: 'If Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Dallas wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' No total goals or moneyline markets.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on three independent metrics: moneyline winner (Stars vs. Flyers), combined total goals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread (Stars -1.5). Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Stars and Flyers combine to score 5 or more goals' and 'If the Stars win, the market will resolve to Stars.'
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