TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers prediction markets related to the October 17th NHL game between the Dallas Stars and the Chicago Blackhawks. Markets include the winner of the game and over/under goals scored. Resolution depends on the official NHL game results.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in public opinion. Examining both sets of odds can offer a more nuanced understanding of the anticipated outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform differs; Polymarket currently has a 24-hour volume of $143,743, while Predict’s volume is different. These variations in trading activity and user behavior contribute to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities. It’s also possible that differing information or interpretations of available data lead traders on each platform to reach different conclusions about the likely outcome of the Stars-Blackhawks game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about game conditions or venue changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in team momentum or head-to-head historical data could sway opinions. Increased trading volume driven by new information or prominent traders entering the market could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.