TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Starbucks will report its total number of global store locations for 2026, with outcomes measured at various thresholds reflecting different levels of retail expansion.
Resolution is based on Starbucks Corporation's reported total global stores in 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific store count threshold, with resolution occurring when the company's official report shows total store count exceeding the stated level.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible Starbucks store counts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for Starbucks’ global store expansion. The current top outcome, Above 41300 total global stores in 2026, reflects the highest probability assigned by traders.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final reported number of Starbucks stores globally as of December 31, 2026, as officially published by Starbucks Corporation, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official Starbucks announcements leading up to the resolution date for the most accurate information regarding the final store count.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Starbucks regarding their expansion plans, particularly those outlining store openings or closures, will be closely watched. Economic conditions in key growth markets, such as China, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events, like geopolitical instability or shifts in consumer preferences affecting the coffee industry, could also cause price fluctuations. Any news related to Starbucks’ financial performance, including revenue growth and profitability, may also move this market as traders reassess the company’s ability to fund further expansion.