TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, resolving based on whether the team's actual score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Stanford and Wake Forest in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., Wake Forest over 13.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial handling of unforeseen delays or cancellations.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. If a significant disparity exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It’s crucial to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, converging towards what the market deems a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a valuable tool for assessing expectations surrounding the Stanford-Wake Forest game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Stanford and Wake Forest, as officially recorded by the governing body of the game, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by each team during the official game, and any overtime periods included as part of the official result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Stanford or Wake Forest would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact prices. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could further move the market. Finally, any major upsets in other games involving these teams’ conference rivals might subtly influence trader sentiment and affect the prices in this market.