TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing solely on the scoring dynamics of the last quarter without considering the overall game outcome or overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in regulation 4th quarter play count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, which may not always align with the true probabilities as assessed by informed traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the implied probability of the total points being below the threshold, with higher prices suggesting a lower probability and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the Stanford vs Wake Forest football game will be used to determine whether the total points scored in the fourth quarter fall above or below the threshold set by the market. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the result and settling this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Stanford or Wake Forest would likely cause movement, as this affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the scoring pace and thus the market price. Furthermore, in-game developments during the first three quarters – such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected turnovers – could shift trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.