TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins by specifically in the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. The outcomes depend on the point differential achieved during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team for a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only the points scored in the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes, and no markets consider overtime scoring.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the game’s likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the fourth quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final price of contracts will reflect the actual game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Wake Forest teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect the perceived probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market.