TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Stanford and Wake Forest. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the third quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Wake Forest scores more points in that quarter, the 'Wake Forest' market resolves to Yes. If Stanford scores more points, the 'Stanford' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating information from a diverse range of sources and viewpoints. This can lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller group of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize publicly available information and expert analysis, while this market can react quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when unexpected news emerges related to team performance or player availability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Stanford winning the 3rd quarter or Wake Forest winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, creating a dynamic and evolving forecast. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is Wake Forest winning the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 3rd quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest football game will determine the outcome. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will be used to verify the winning team. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Stanford or Wake Forest would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes.