TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score more points in the second quarter of a college football game between Stanford and Wake Forest. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game during a specific timeframe, offering insight into each team's performance in that quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Wake Forest scores more points in that quarter, the market resolves to Yes for Wake Forest and No for Stanford and Tie. Conversely, if Stanford scores more points, the market resolves to Yes for Stanford and No for Wake Forest and Tie. If neither team scores (i.e., the quarter ends in a tie), the market resolves to Yes for Tie and No for both teams. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The market does not consider points scored in any other quarter, only the second quarter's performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is leading at the end of the second quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest game. The official game results will be used to verify the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the losing team will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Wake Forest teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their predictions and alter the price of contracts. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role.