TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the performance of Stanford and Wake Forest in the first quarter of their college football game. It focuses on the point differential between the two teams during that specific segment of play, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The market resolves based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Wake Forest wins by more than a specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for Wake Forest markets is triggered. Conversely, if Stanford wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome for Stanford markets resolves. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on available information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Stanford will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the game's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Stanford vs Wake Forest game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. It's important to note that the resolution is based solely on the first quarter spread, as defined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Wake Forest teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's playing conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price movements as the game approaches.