TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Stanford and Wake Forest. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first half of the Stanford vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the total points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the first half. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total score in the first half falling below that value. As more people buy contracts for a specific total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of those trading on the event. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the first half of the Stanford vs Wake Forest game will be used to determine whether contracts settle above or below the contract price. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Wake Forest teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or tactical adjustments announced before the game could also cause price fluctuations. Even public sentiment and large bets placed by informed traders can contribute to shifts in the price of this market as the game approaches.