TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of Notre Dame and Stanford in their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that either team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes reflect how high-scoring the game might be for each team.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Notre Dame and Stanford in the game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market where the specified team scores strictly more than the listed threshold (e.g., 'over X.5 points'), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting an unbiased assessment of the likely outcome had the game been played. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the point threshold being evaluated.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to a more refined and potentially more predictive price. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer better value, particularly if you identify discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders, providing a real-time assessment of the likely team totals for Stanford and Notre Dame.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Stanford versus Notre Dame game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores recorded by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which team total range contract corresponds to the actual combined points scored by both teams in the game, and those contract holders will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either Stanford or Notre Dame would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the expected scoring output. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about team morale or internal issues, could all contribute to shifts in the market. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could also play a role.