TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Stanford and Notre Dame. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Stanford vs. Notre Dame college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event encompasses three possible outcomes: Notre Dame scores first, Stanford scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to sophisticated modeling, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, particularly closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will score first, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current market reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Stanford vs Notre Dame game. The official game results, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts associated with this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Stanford or Notre Dame would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also move the market. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence traders' perceptions and lead to price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during warm-ups could also trigger rapid adjustments in the market.