TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins or loses by in the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on performance in the last period of play. The outcomes depend entirely on the point differential achieved during the fourth quarter, ignoring earlier parts of the game.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Stanford vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team for a 'Yes' resolution. If Notre Dame wins by more than the specified margin in the 4th quarter, the relevant 'Notre Dame wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Stanford achieves the required margin, the corresponding 'Stanford wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and analyst predictions. It’s important to note that these are distinct sources of information, each with its own strengths and weaknesses when forecasting the final spread.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the 4th quarter of the Stanford vs Notre Dame game. The final score difference will be compared to the various contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine winning and losing contracts. Traders will be able to see the official result and the corresponding payout for their positions following the game's conclusion and verification of the final score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Notre Dame teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift expectations and alter the spread. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.