TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Stanford and Notre Dame specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that determines whether the market settles as 'Yes' or 'No' based on the scoring in that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Stanford vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin during that quarter, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might suggest that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook lines converge as the event approaches, as more information becomes available and both sides refine their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Stanford vs Notre Dame game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the actual point difference at the end of the second quarter, as reported by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Notre Dame teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to adjust their expectations and alter the price of contracts. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, though to a lesser extent.