TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Stanford and Louisville. Outcomes depend solely on which team scores more points during that specific quarter, with varying thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Stanford vs Louisville college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes.' If Louisville wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'Louisville wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Stanford wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin, the relevant 'Stanford wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may suggest that prediction market traders have information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Stanford vs Louisville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any relevant news leading up to the end of the 3rd quarter to assess potential impacts on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Stanford or Louisville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, so monitoring the trading activity is crucial.